October 7, 2022

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French election: Marine Le Pen victory 'very dangerous and possible', says political science professor |  the topic

French election: Marine Le Pen victory ‘very dangerous and possible’, says political science professor | the topic

Emmanuel Macron And Marine Le Pen They will face each other again in the second round of the presidential elections in France, which will be held on April 24. But the similarity with the 2017 scenario is only in the candidates, because the current rhetoric is different, making Le Pen’s victory “extremely dangerous and possible,” assesses political scientist Miguel Lago, who teaches at Columbia University in New York and Sciences Po. In Paris.

“I am afraid that the tone of Le Pen’s campaign will be stronger than Macron’s, and it is already a repeat of what happened in 2002 and 2017,” the political expert explains. “The truth is that Marin seems calmer and people fear her less.”

A man looks at posters of French presidential candidates Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen, April 11, 2022 – Photo: Ludovic Marin/AFP

β€œLe Pen is a different candidate from the other far-right we see in the world. She is more moderate than Trump, certainly Victor Urban, more than Salvini, in Italy, and much more than Jair Messias Bolsonaro. Zemmour will also be much more than the example of the international far right in France. . [Marine Le Pen] He is so nationalist that I think he only cares about France, in fact,” says Miguel Lago in an interview with Julia Dualipe.

If Marine Le Pen wins the second round, it will be “a French phenomenon rather than an international one,” Miguel assesses.

“In Brazil, the repercussions will be less bad than Zemmour. I don’t see Marine Le Pen moving a finger to try to support Bolsonaro’s re-election. She will be worried about France and will deal with Lula if she is elected.”

To stop the far right, the political world believes Macron will need the explicit support of socialist candidate Melenchon. Lago also lists the implications for the geopolitics of Europe in times of war in Ukraine and the possible consequences for Brazil.

“It would certainly be disastrous to have the far right, especially in this wartime context.”

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