July 5, 2022

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Bolsas caem com preocupação sobre crise de energia; ADP nos EUA, varejo no Brasil e mais assuntos que vão movimentar o mercado hoje

After exceeding 109,000 points, Ibovespa succumbed to pressure from outside and closes

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the Ibovespa It almost followed last week’s gains, but it hardly failed. And the stock exchange, which today exceeded 109 thousand points, ended with a slight decrease in the final adjustments. Offshore, investors adopted a more conservative stance, awaiting decisions from various central banks and information about the micron variant of the coronavirus, and ended up affecting business here.

Among the biggest gains on the Ibovespa day were health stocks and Vale (VALE3), the most heavily traded on Monday. The rise in the price of iron ore in the international market, with the expectation of increased Chinese demand, also contributed to the rise in the share prices of steelmakers throughout the session.

“Ibovespa has been able to defend itself more from the foreign market through a higher price goods“, says Gustavo Cruz, strategist at RB Investimentos. For him, the impact of slightly lower inflation for this year and in the following years may also have affected business. For the first time in 35 weeks, economists consulted by the central bank lowered their inflation estimates for this year: from 10.18% last week to 10.5%.For 2022, expectations were kept at 5.02%.

The last “full” week of the year for markets before the year-end festivities includes the US Central Bank’s Open Market Committee (FOMC, its English acronym) meeting, which should set the tone for withdrawing stimulus for the US economy. Although no rate hike is expected, the Fed’s statement should provide details on the trajectory of inflation in the US and how monetary policy will be implemented.

In Europe, liquidity is expected to be maintained, by both the European Central Bank and the Bank of England, as the micron variable progresses to the coronavirus. In the UK, it was registered The first death from the Corona virus, Covid-19, of a patient infected with the new strain.

The World Health Organization (WHO) states that Ômicron provides evidence that it escapes vaccine protection. However, there is still little clinical data on the new strain.

“Exchange complications are still very attractive and we shouldn’t suffer too much from this alternative, due to vaccination,” says Danny Schweizer, Head of Variable Income at Ébano Investimentos.

And here he highlights that promises to move the markets tomorrow are the minutes of the last meeting of the Monetary Policy Committee (Copom) of the central bank, in which the college decided to raise the base interest rate (Selic) by 1.5 percentage points to 9.25% annually.

Investors are also watching the progress of the PEC dos Precatórios, which the House of Representatives will vote on this week. These are the parties that have undergone changes in the Senate vote. The government did not have time to vote on this issue before the start of the parliamentary recess.

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The Ibovespa index closed 0.35% lower at 107,383 points. Ibovespa’s December 2021 futures advanced 0.48% to 107.525 points.

The commercial dollar, in turn, closed with an increase of 1.07% at 5.673 Brazilian reais for purchases and 5.674 Brazilian reais for sales. The dollar futures contract for January 2022 increased by 1.08% to R$ 5.702 in the last trading today.

In the futures market extended session, DI for January 2023 advances 1 basis point to 11.40%; DI for January 2025 offers 2 basis points at 10.41%; The DI for January 2027 was up three basis points at 10.36%.

In New York, stock exchanges closed amid uncertainty over Micron and the Fed’s stance at the next FOMC meeting. The Dow Jones index closed down 0.89% to 35,652 points. The S&P fell 0.91% to 4,669 points. The Nasdaq closed down 1.39% to 15,413 points.

In Europe, the stock exchanges, which started the session lower, also reversed their signals. The Stoxx 600 Index, which measures the performance of companies from 17 European countries, closed down 0.43%.

Not all raw materials act as raw materials in today’s session. Oil closed lower again, with WTI at $71.31 and down 0.5%; Brent oil fell 0.96% to $74.43.

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